Tami Savage, Realtor

Your Key to a New Lifestyle

  • Search for Homes
  • Blog
  • About
  • Contact
  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • LinkedIn
  • YouTube

Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash

February 9, 2023 By Tami Savage

Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash

67% of Americans say a housing market crash is imminent in the next three years. With all the talk in the media lately about shifts in the housing market, it makes sense why so many people feel this way. But there’s good news. Current data shows today’s market is nothing like it was before the housing crash in 2008.

Back Then, Mortgage Standards Were Less Strict

During the lead-up to the housing crisis, it was much easier to get a home loan than it is today. Banks were creating artificial demand by lowering lending standards and making it easy for just about anyone to qualify for a home loan or refinance an existing one.

As a result, lending institutions took on much greater risk in both the person and the mortgage products offered. That led to mass defaults, foreclosures, and falling prices. Today, things are different, and purchasers face much higher standards from mortgage companies.

The graph below uses data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) to help tell this story. In this index, the higher the number, the easier it is to get a mortgage. The lower the number, the harder it is.

Lending Regulations Remain Stable

This graph also shows just how different things are today compared to the spike in credit availability leading up to the crash. Tighter lending standards have helped prevent a situation that could lead to a wave of foreclosures like the last time.

Foreclosure Volume Has Declined a Lot Since the Crash

Another difference is the number of homeowners that were facing foreclosure when the housing bubble burst. Foreclosure activity has been lower since the crash, largely because buyers today are more qualified and less likely to default on their loans. The graph below uses data from ATTOM to show the difference between last time and now:

Foreclosure Starts: Past & Present

So even as foreclosures tick up, the total number is still very low. And on top of that, most experts don’t expect foreclosures to go up drastically like they did following the crash in 2008. Bill McBride, Founder of Calculated Risk, explains the impact a large increase in foreclosures had on home prices back then – and how that’s unlikely this time.

“The bottom line is there will be an increase in foreclosures over the next year (from record level lows), but there will not be a huge wave of distressed sales as happened following the housing bubble. The distressed sales during the housing bust led to cascading price declines, and that will not happen this time.”

The Supply of Homes for Sale Today Is More Limited

For historical context, there were too many homes for sale during the housing crisis (many of which were short sales and foreclosures), and that caused prices to fall dramatically. Supply has increased since the start of this year, but there’s still a shortage of inventory available overall, primarily due to years of underbuilding homes.

The graph below uses data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) to show how the months’ supply of homes available now compares to the crash. Today, unsold inventory sits at just 2.7-months’ supply at the current sales pace, which is significantly lower than the last time. There just isn’t enough inventory on the market for home prices to come crashing down like they did last time, even though some overheated markets may experience slight declines.

Housing Supply is Lower than Last Time

Bottom Line

If recent headlines have you worried we’re headed for another housing crash, the data above should help ease those fears. Expert insights and the most current data clearly show that today’s market is nothing like it was last time.

Tagged With: Distressed Properties, For Buyers, For Sellers, Foreclosures, Housing Market Updates

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Free eGuide. Things to Consider When Buying a Home. Send me this eGuide.

Free eGuide. Things to Consider When Selling Your House. Send me this eGuide.

A Guide to Buying Your First Home. Send me this eGuide.

Tags

Baby Boomers Buying Myths Community Demographics Distressed Properties Downloadable Down Payments First Time Home Buyers Forbearances For Buyers Foreclosures For Sale By Owners For Sellers FSBOs Garden Generation X Generation Z Gen X Gen Z Holidays Home Household Management Housing Market Updates Infographics Interest Rates Interview Investors Lifestyle Luxury Market Millennials money Move-Up Buyers moving New Construction Pricing relocation Remodel Rent vs Buy Report Reviews Selling Myths Senior Market Short Sales Veterans Video

Free eGuide. Things to Consider When Selling Your House. Send me this eGuide.

Free eGuide. Things to Consider When Buying a Home. Send me this eGuide.

Tags

Baby Boomers Buying Myths Community Demographics Distressed Properties Downloadable Down Payments First Time Home Buyers Forbearances For Buyers Foreclosures For Sale By Owners For Sellers FSBOs Garden Generation X Generation Z Gen X Gen Z Holidays Home Household Management Housing Market Updates Infographics Interest Rates Interview Investors Lifestyle Luxury Market Millennials money Move-Up Buyers moving New Construction Pricing relocation Remodel Rent vs Buy Report Reviews Selling Myths Senior Market Short Sales Veterans Video

Designations & Certifications

🏠💖 Home is where the heart is; for Gen Z and 🏠💖 Home is where the heart is; for Gen Z and millennials, it's a dream worth chasing. Surveys show that owning a home still tops the list of life goals for many in these generations.

Beyond the investment, it’s about creating a space that's truly yours. 🎨 Facing challenges like high mortgage rates and low inventory? I'm here to guide you every step of the way. 🗝️

DM me to embark on your home-buying adventure. Let’s make your dream home a reality! 💭

https://tamisavage.com/is-owning-a-home-still-the-american-dream-for-younger-buyers/
🔮🏠 Wondering about the recession and its imp 🔮🏠 Wondering about the recession and its impact on housing? Good news! Less than half of economists now see a recession coming soon.

Low unemployment rates mean a stable housing market, with no signs of a foreclosure wave.

Got questions about the market and your home? DM me for a chat – let’s dive into the details together.

https://tamisavage.com/why-the-economy-wont-tank-the-housing-market/
🏡✨ Discover the joys of homeownership! Our la 🏡✨ Discover the joys of homeownership! Our latest infographic highlights three major reasons to be thankful for owning a home:

1. Your personal safe haven.
2. A space that reflects YOU.
3. A community of friends and neighbors.

Ready to find your dream home? DM me to start your journey!

https://tamisavage.com/why-homeowners-feel-thankful-for-their-homes-infographic/
Home is where the heart is, and homeowners know it Home is where the heart is, and homeowners know it best! 🏠💖 Here's why many are thankful:

🕊️ A sanctuary of peace.
🎨 Your personal expression zone.
🤗 A community connector.
🎉 A memory maker.

Ready to find your own slice of happiness? DM me to start your home-buying journey.

https://tamisavage.com/why-homeowners-are-thankful-they-own/
🍁 Home prices got you puzzled? It's all about s 🍁 Home prices got you puzzled? It's all about seasonality! 📊 While some say prices are dropping, the truth is, they're just following the usual yearly pattern.

🌸 𝐒𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 = Peak demand
☀️ 𝐒𝐮𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐫 = High activity
🍂 𝐅𝐚𝐥𝐥/𝐖𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫 = Slower growth

It's normal, and it's happening now. No drastic drops, just a more moderate rise. For the real scoop on local home prices and how this impacts your plans, DM me.

#HomePrices #MarketSeasonality #RealEstateFacts #DontBelieveTheHype #HomeBuyingAndSelling
Feeling lost in the housing market buzz? 🌐 Let’s break down the big three questions:
📈 Mortgage Rates: Expected to stabilize as inflation eases.
🏠 Home Prices: Still growing, but at a more normal pace.
💬 Recession Talk: Becoming less likely according to experts.

Navigating the market doesn’t have to be confusing. DM me to discuss your real estate plans as we approach the new year.

https://tamisavage.com/are-the-top-3-housing-market-questions-on-your-mind/
📈 Home inventory update! While there's a bit mo 📈 Home inventory update! While there's a bit more on the market now, we're still far from pre-pandemic levels.

𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐟 𝐛𝐮𝐲𝐢𝐧𝐠? More options, but stay ready for competition.
𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐲 𝐭𝐨 𝐬𝐞𝐥𝐥? It's still a great time to make your move.

Let’s talk strategy for today’s market. DM me for the latest insights and personalized advice!
Ever wonder if big investors are scooping up all t Ever wonder if big investors are scooping up all the homes? 🏡🔍 Here’s the breakdown: Out of 82 million single-family homes in the U.S., most are owned and lived in by individuals, not investors.

👉 Don’t let the myths scare you. There’s room for you in the housing market. Questions? DM me for real insights and guidance on your path to homeownership.

https://tamisavage.com/is-wall-street-buying-up-all-the-homes-in-america/
Load More Follow on Instagram
The Summer Guides for Buying and Selling a Home are Here.

To get the latest digital copy, go to https://tamisavage.com/the-spring-guides-for-buying-and-selling-a-home-are-here/
The Spring Guides for Buying and Selling a Home Are Here
How you price your house will make a big difference to not only your bottom line, but to how quickly it could sell. Let’s connect to figure out the ideal price for your house.
Price Your House Right When You Sell
Getting pre-approved is an important first step toward buying a home. Let’s connect so you have the right tools to buy a home in today’s market.

Data Source:
 • https://www.forbes.com/advisor/mortgages/what-it-takes-to-be-preapproved-for-a-mortgage-and-why-it-matters/
The Importance of Pre-Approval
There are many reasons why it’s easy to fall in love with homeownership. If you’re ready to find the home of your dreams, let’s connect.
Why It's Easy To Fall in Love with Homeownership
You can have the home you want without waiting for the perfect home to come onto the market.

SOURCE for Data in Video: 
 • https://themreport.com/news/data/08-29-2022/homebuyers-compromise
Create Your Perfect Home by Perfecting It After You Purchase
Before buying a home, it’s a good idea to know why homeownership is important to you. Let’s connect to discuss your why and prioritize your next steps.

SOURCE for Data in Video: 
 • https://himaxwell.com/resources/ebooks-white-papers/1h-2022-millennial-genz-borrower-sentiment-report/#downloadnow
Top Reasons Why You May Want To Buy a Home
There’s a lot going on in the housing market right now. 

You can get the latest digital copy from my website post: https://tamisavage.com/the-winter-guides-for-buying-or-selling-a-home-are-here/
The Winter Guides for Buying or Selling a Home Are Here
There’s good reason to make your move right now if you’re ready to sell. Let’s connect to talk about the benefits of selling your house this season.
5 Reasons To Sell Your House This Winter
Rents have risen dramatically for over three decades. Let’s connect so you can have expert advice on your side to help you reach your homeownership goals.

Data Source: 
 • http://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/files/currenthvspress.pdf
Avoid the Rental Trap
Load More... Subscribe

Let’s Connect

770-744-2524‬ or
(888) 959-9461 x2543

Digitial Business Card

 

Calculate Mortgage Payments

www.mlcalc.com/mortgage-calculator/
Copyright © 2019+ Tami Savage LLC. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Policy

DISCLAIMER: The information contained, and the opinions expressed, on this site are NOT intended to be construed as legal or financial advice. Tami Savage does NOT guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as legal or financial advice. You should ALWAYS conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any legal or financial decisions. Tami Savage will NOT be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.