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An Honest Look at Unemployment Numbers

December 8, 2020 By Tami Savage

An Honest Look at Unemployment Numbers

Last Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the November Jobs Report. It revealed that, though headed in the right direction, the nation’s job recovery has slowed. The consensus reaction is best exemplified by a quote from Glassdoor Senior Economist, Daniel Zhao:

“We saw positive job gains, but I think the sentiment is largely negative because we know that we’re heading into a dark winter.”

There’s no doubt that millions of households have been – and continue to be -devastated by the economic downturn caused by the pandemic.

We should, however, put the current situation into perspective. Where we currently stand is much better than where most experts thought we would be at this time. Jed Kolko, Chief Economist of Indeed, explained in his State of the Labor Market that, though the situation is not good, we’re doing better than original expectations:

“Though the labor market rebound is incomplete, it has nevertheless surpassed expectations. In May, after payrolls plunged and unemployment spiked, the Wall Street Journal panel of economic forecasters projected unemployment would be over 11% in December 2020 and not fall below 7% until the first half of 2022 — a milestone already passed in October.”

With the announcement that vaccines should be available soon, we’re not far from the most damaged segments of the economy gaining momentum again.

Jeff Sparshott of the Wall Street Journal recently wrote:

“Even with signs of a recent slowdown, the labor-market recovery since this spring has been stronger than most economists expected. Many now project widespread vaccine distribution will eventually help lift the economy further as businesses are allowed to reopen and consumers feel more comfortable traveling, going to the movies.”

Bottom Line

Though millions of Americans are still out of work, the situation was forecasted to be even direr than it is today. Once a vaccine becomes available, the economy should complete its comeback, and so should the labor market.

Tagged With: For Buyers, For Sellers, Housing Market Updates

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I help homeowners sell their existing home and shift into a home more suitable to their needs in the North Metro Atlanta area (specifically around Cumming, Canton, & Milton). Read More…

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If you're following the news, you might be wondering what could happen to the housing market if there's a recession. Let's connect to discuss why history shows a recession doesn't equal a housing crisis.

SOURCES: 
• https://www.corelogic.com/intelligence/corelogic-hpi-posted-record-year-over-year-growth-in-2021/
• https://www.corelogic.com/intelligence/housing-recessions-and-recoveries/
• https://www.thebalance.com/the-history-of-recessions-in-the-united-states-3306011
A Recession Doesn't Equal a Housing Crisis
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Buyers already know higher mortgage rates can increase their monthly payment.

But sellers might be surprised to learn rising rates could impact them, as well.

Watch the video to find out what you should consider if you’ve been waiting to sell your home.

Then contact us today to schedule a free consultation. Whether you want to buy or sell this year, act fast…before rates rise even further!

📲 770-744-2524
☎️ 888-959-9461 x2543
📩  tami@tamisavage.com
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Want to better understand how buying a home could be a great investment for you? Let’s connect today.

SOURCE:
• https://news.gallup.com/poll/392330/record-low-say-good-time-buy-house.aspx
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Thinking of Moving Up This Summer?

Here are some features you may want on your wishlist:
• Outdoor entertaining space
• A swimming pool to make a splash
• A quiet place to relax and unwind

Let's connect so you can sell your house and find the home of your dreams.
Thinking of Moving Up This Summer
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If you're thinking of buying or selling a home this year, it's important to know where the market is headed and what that means for you. Let's connect so you have the latest expert insights to help plan your next move.

SOURCES: 
• https://www.mba.org/docs/default-source/research-and-forecasts/forecasts/mortgage-finance-forecast-apr-2022.pdf
https://cdn.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/documents/forecast-q2-2022-us-economic-outlook-04-27-2022.pdf
• https://www.fanniemae.com/media/43346/display
• https://www.freddiemac.com/research/forecast/20220418-quarterly-forecast-purchase-market-will-remain-solid-even-mortgage-rates-rise
• https://pulsenomics.com/surveys/#home-price-expectations
• https://www.corelogic.com/intelligence/u-s-home-price-insights/
• https://www.zelmanassociates.com/
• https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-pandemic-boom-in-home-sales-is-over-mortgage-rates-soar-to-highest-level-since-2009-as-the-fed-pressures-the-housing-market-11651760108
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SOURCES: 
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/why-time-is-right-sell-home-us-2022-03-29/ https://www.businessinsider.com/signs-you-should-sell-your-home-2019-7#lifestyle-shifts-are-compelling-you-to-rethink-your-living-space-2
https://blog.firstam.com/economics/why-the-2022-housing-market-is-very-2019
Top Signs Its Time To Sell According to Experts
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More sellers are expected to list their houses in the months ahead. Let's connect so you have a trusted real estate advisor on your side and can act when your dream home comes to market.

SOURCES: 
https://news.move.com/2022-04-06-New-Realtor-com-R-Survey-Finds-64-of-2022-Sellers-Plan-to-List-by-Summers-End
https://cdn.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/documents/ehs-03-2022-overview-2022-04-20.pdf
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SOURCE: 
https://cdn.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/documents/2022-03-realtors-confidence-index-04-20-2022.pdf
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